SantiagoClay1/8-finals26 Feb 2026 · 22:35
C. Garin
#95 · Chile
VS
S. Baez
#52 · Argentina
GARIN
3.13
·
BAEZ
1.41

Odds

Market
Garin
Baez
Winner
3.13
1.41
Total
line 19.0
1.33
Over 19.0
2.88
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.44
Over 19.5
2.5
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.24
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.34
-2.5 games
1.64
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.68Trend mixed

S. Baez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 6.59Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

11 MarSvrcina4-6 4-6L
26 FebBaez6-7 6-1 5-7L
24 FebCerundolo6-3 3-6 3-6W
16 FebTirante5-7 3-6L
20 JanDarderi6-7 5-7 6-7L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarMedvedev6-4 6-0L
8 MarLehecka6-4 6-1W
5 MarTseng3-6 2-6W
28 FebDarderi4-6 3-6L
28 FebTabilo6-7 1-6W

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Baez
60.1%
Win rate
68%
255–169
W–L
168–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces0
Double faults2