Monte CarloClay1/32-finals6 Apr 2026 · 13:10
S. Baez
ATP #64Argentina
VS
S. Wawrinka
ATP #113Switzerland
BAEZ
1.42
·
WAWRINKA
3.08

Odds

Market
Baez
Wawrinka
Winner
1.42
3.08
Total
line 18.5
1.27
Over 18.5
3.14
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.32
Over 19.0
2.92
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
4.8
-6.5 games
1.15
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
4.4
-6.0 games
1.18
+6 games

Player analysis

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -0.28Trend mixed

S. Wawrinka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning S. Wawrinka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Wawrinka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Wawrinka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -1.9Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baez
Stat
Wawrinka
67%
Win rate
63.1%
175–86
W–L
231–135

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces8
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
BaezWawrinka

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #64Baez vs WawrinkaATP #113

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Baez 67% (17586) · Wawrinka 63% (231135)

Last match at Monte Carlo

L7 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - 1/16-finals
vs C. Alcaraz · 6-1 6-3
1st serve65%1st won52.5%Aces1BP conv100%

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

Quick comparison

BaezStatWawrinka
67%Clay W%63%
70%1st serve % (L5)50%
60%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)40%
1Aces (L5 avg)8