MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 21:10
C. Garin
#114 · Chile
VS
L. Draxl
#164 · Canada
GARIN
1.79
·
DRAXL
2.08

Odds

Market
Garin
Draxl
Winner
1.79
2.08
Total
line 20.0
1.32
Over 20.0
2.88
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.43
Over 20.5
2.46
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.12
-4.0 games
1.29
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.54
-3.5 games
1.43
+3.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -4.08Trend up

L. Draxl comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning L. Draxl has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS -8.92Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Garin
Stat
Draxl
46.2%
Win rate
66.7%
79–92
W–L
164–82

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2