MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 21:10
C. Garin
#95 · Chile
VS
L. Draxl
#147 · Canada
GARIN
1.813
·
DRAXL
2.05

Odds

Market
Garin
Draxl
Winner
1.813
2.05
Total
line 22.5
1.87
Over 22.5
1.87
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.56
Over 21.5
2.21
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.29
-3.0 games
1.625
+3 games
Handicap
games
2.13
-2.5 games
1.71
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -5.26Trend mixed

L. Draxl comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -18.9, meaning L. Draxl has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Draxl has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -18.92Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

11 MarSvrcina4-6 4-6L
26 FebBaez6-7 6-1 5-7L
24 FebCerundolo6-3 3-6 3-6W
16 FebTirante5-7 3-6L
20 JanDarderi6-7 5-7 6-7L
Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

10 MarSakamoto6-3 7-5L
2 MarBuse6-4 7-6L
14 FebSvajda6-2 6-1L
8 FebHeide6-3 6-4W
7 FebSilva6-3 6-3W

Hard court stats

Garin
Stat
Draxl
47%
Win rate
66.7%
79–89
W–L
164–82

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults3