Odds
Player analysis
C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
J. De Jong shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 185. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 21.4, with at least one match where J. De Jong was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 26 May | Tien | 0-6 6-2 0-6 2-6 | L |
| 16 May | Squire | 1-6 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 12 May | Midon | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 9 May | Fokina | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 7 May | Cerundolo | 7-6 7-5 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 May | Cina | 3-6 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 25 May | Wawrinka | 3-6 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 May | Zheng | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 20 May | Draxl | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 18 May | Sun | 7-6 7-6 | W |

