Monte CarloClayATP Semi-finals4 Apr 2026 · 13:10
C. Garin
#114 · Chile
VS
J. De Jong
#106 · Netherlands
GARIN
2.11
·
JONG
1.76

Odds

Market
Garin
Jong
Winner
2.11
1.76
Total
line 19.0
1.28
Over 19.0
3.08
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.82
-2.0 games
1.99
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.76
-2.5 games
2.06
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning C. Garin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -4.08Trend up

J. De Jong shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 185. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 21.4, with at least one match where J. De Jong was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 8.26Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Jong
60%
Win rate
59.6%
263–175
W–L
31–21

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces9
Double faults3