Buenos AiresClayQuarter-finals13 Feb 2026 · 22:35
C. Ugo Carabelli
#66 · Argentina
VS
S. Baez
#52 · Argentina
CARABELLI
2.64
·
BAEZ
1.55

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Baez
Winner
2.64
1.55
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
3.04
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.42
Over 19.5
2.57
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.2
-2.0 games
1.72
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.08
-2.5 games
1.81
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.6, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.58Trend mixed

S. Baez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 6.59Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

6 MarNakashima6-3 6-4L
4 MarDamm7-6 6-3W
25 FebHanfmann4-6 3-6L
17 FebBurruchaga3-6 4-6L
13 FebBaez6-7 2-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarMedvedev6-4 6-0L
8 MarLehecka6-4 6-1W
5 MarTseng3-6 2-6W
28 FebDarderi4-6 3-6L
28 FebTabilo6-7 1-6W

Clay court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Baez
64.5%
Win rate
68%
231–127
W–L
168–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces0
Double faults2