MarrakechClayATP Semi-finals4 Apr 2026 · 16:35
R. Jodar
#55 · Spain
VS
C. Ugo Carabelli
#64 · Argentina
JODAR
1.5
·
CARABELLI
2.78

Odds

Market
Jodar
Carabelli
Winner
1.5
2.78
Total
line 18.5
1.24
Over 18.5
3.34
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.28
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
5.45
-6.5 games
1.12
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
5
-6.0 games
1.14
+6 games

Player analysis

R. Jodar arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 21.23Trend mixed

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -3.71Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Jodar
Stat
Carabelli
54.8%
Win rate
64.5%
17–14
W–L
231–127

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved80%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
R. Jodar vs C. Ugo Carabelli head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MarrakechClayATP Semi-finalsJodar6-2 6-1