MarrakechClayATP Semi-finals4 Apr 2026 · 16:35
R. Jodar
ATP #29Spain
VS
C. Ugo Carabelli
ATP #59Argentina
JODAR
1.5
·
CARABELLI
2.78

Odds

Market
Jodar
Carabelli
Winner
1.5
2.78
Total
line 18.5
1.24
Over 18.5
3.34
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.28
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
5.45
-6.5 games
1.12
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
5
-6.0 games
1.14
+6 games

Player analysis

R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 56. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.78Trend up

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 9.1, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.28Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Jodar
Stat
Carabelli
54.8%
Win rate
64.6%
17–14
W–L
243–133

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
JodarCarabelli

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #29Jodar vs CarabelliATP #59

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Jodar 55% (1714) · Carabelli 65% (243133)

Quick comparison

JodarStatCarabelli
55%Clay W%65%
70%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)30%
6Aces (L5 avg)5