MarrakechClayATP Quarter-finals3 Apr 2026 · 16:20
C. Ugo Carabelli
ATP #59Argentina
VS
L. van Assche
ATP #100France
CARABELLI
1.67
·
ASSCHE
2.33

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Assche
Winner
1.67
2.33
Total
line 20.0
1.31
Over 20.0
2.97
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.41
Over 20.5
2.6
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.74
-5.0 games
1.21
+5 games
Handicap
games
2.99
-4.5 games
1.32
+4.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 9.1, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.28Trend mixed

L. van Assche comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning L. van Assche has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. van Assche vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. van Assche has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -7.99Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Assche
64.6%
Win rate
57.9%
243–133
W–L
95–69

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
CarabelliAssche

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #59Carabelli vs AsscheATP #100

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Carabelli 65% (243133) · Assche 58% (9569)

Quick comparison

CarabelliStatAssche
65%Clay W%58%
60%1st serve % (L5)50%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
30%BP conv (L5)30%
5Aces (L5 avg)4