BarcelonaClay1/16-finals14 Apr 2026 · 14:10
C. Ugo Carabelli
#64 · Argentina
VS
K. Khachanov
#14 · Russia
CARABELLI
2.64
·
KHACHANOV
1.54

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Khachanov
Winner
2.64
1.54
Total
line 18.5
1.2
Over 18.5
3.82
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.28
Over 19.0
3.14
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
2.13
-2.0 games
1.65
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.04
-2.5 games
1.71
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.7, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -3.71Trend up

K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning K. Khachanov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -4.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Khachanov
64.5%
Win rate
59%
231–127
W–L
102–71

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults2
BP converted40%