BarcelonaClay1/16-finals14 Apr 2026 · 15:40
T. Machac
ATP #43Czech Republic
VS
S. Baez
ATP #64Argentina
MACHAC
1.7
·
BAEZ
2.27

Odds

Market
Machac
Baez
Winner
1.7
2.27
Total
line 19.5
1.33
Over 19.5
2.92
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.38
Over 20.0
2.67
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
2.98
-4.5 games
1.35
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.8
-4.0 games
1.36
+4 games

Player analysis

T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -1.68Trend mixed

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -0.28Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Machac
Stat
Baez
58.6%
Win rate
67%
58–41
W–L
175–86

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
MachacBaez

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #43Machac vs BaezATP #64

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Machac 59% (5841) · Baez 67% (17586)

Last match at Barcelona

L17 Apr 2026 · ATP Barcelona - Quarter-finals
vs A. Rublev · 4-6 3-6
1st serve65%1st won51.2%Aces0BP conv42.9%

No finished matches at Barcelona yet.

Quick comparison

MachacStatBaez
59%Clay W%67%
70%1st serve % (L5)70%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
30%BP conv (L5)40%
4Aces (L5 avg)1