Odds
Player analysis
T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Baez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 27 May | Zverev | 4-6 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 24 May | Bergs | 6-4 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 7 May | Tsitsipas | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 24 Apr | Norrie | 6-2 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 22 Apr | Comesana | 3-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

