RomeClayATP Semi-finals4 May 2026 · 10:05
D. Merida Aguilar
#86 · Spain
VS
M. McDonald
#126 · USA
AGUILAR
1.21
·
MCDONALD
4.74

Odds

Market
Aguilar
McDonald
Winner
1.21
4.74
Total
line 17.0
1.19
Over 17.0
3.82
Under 17.0
Total
line 17.5
1.32
Over 17.5
2.88
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
6.55
-8.0 games
1.07
+8 games
Handicap
games
4.75
-7.5 games
1.15
+7.5 games

Player analysis

D. Merida Aguilar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning D. Merida Aguilar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.06Trend up

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -13.2Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Aguilar
Stat
McDonald
61.9%
Win rate
33.3%
143–88
W–L
22–44

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2