MadridClayATP Semi-finals20 Apr 2026 · 13:20
L. Harris
#155 · South Africa
VS
M. McDonald
#125 · USA
HARRIS
1.55
·
MCDONALD
2.51

Odds

Market
Harris
McDonald
Winner
1.55
2.51
Total
line 20.0
1.36
Over 20.0
2.7
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.47
Over 20.5
2.35
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.74
-5.0 games
1.22
+5 games
Handicap
games
2.84
-4.5 games
1.36
+4.5 games

Player analysis

L. Harris comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning L. Harris has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Harris vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Harris has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -1.79Trend mixed

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.6, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -13.56Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Harris
Stat
McDonald
44.3%
Win rate
35%
35–44
W–L
21–39

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
Aces7
Double faults1
BP saved70%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
BP converted40%