Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.1, meaning A. Kovacevic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kovacevic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
D. Merida Aguilar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning D. Merida Aguilar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 8 May | Zandschulp | 2-6 6-2 7-6 | L |
| 5 May | Fearnley | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 4 May | Carboni | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Giron | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 29 Apr | Potenza | 3-6 6-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 7 May | Basilashvili | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | L |
| 5 May | Vera | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | W |
| 4 May | McDonald | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 27 Apr | Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Moutet | 6-3 6-4 | W |

