A. Sabalenka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Sabalenka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

I. Swiatek shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 39. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — I. Swiatek has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.