N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.9 with a downward trend. N. Osaka is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

I. Swiatek shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 39. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — I. Swiatek has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.