Odds
Player analysis
A. Sabalenka comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 23 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.0 (range: -9.1 to 31.8). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Baptiste | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 27 Apr | Osaka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Cristian | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 23 Apr | Stearns | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 28 Mar | Gauff | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Australian Open | Hard | Australian Open - Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-2 6-3 | |
| Madrid | Clay | Semi-finals | Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 | |
| WTA Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 | |
| WTA Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Sabalenka | 6-4 1-6 6-7 | |
| WTA French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Sabalenka | 4-6 4-6 |