MadridClaySemi-finals1 May 2025 · 22:00
A. Sabalenka
Belarus
VS
E. Svitolina
Ukraine
SABALENKA
1.5
·
SVITOLINA
2.79

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Svitolina
Winner
1.5
2.79

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -0.5 to 17.5, with at least one match where A. Sabalenka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.03Trend mixed

E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.0 (range: -9.1 to 31.8). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 10.04Trend up

Recent form

LWWWW

4W 1L last 5

28 AprBaptiste6-2 2-6 6-7L
27 AprOsaka6-7 6-3 6-2W
25 AprCristian6-1 6-4W
23 AprStearns7-5 6-3W
28 MarGauff6-2 4-6 6-3W
LLWWW

3W 2L last 5

23 AprBondar6-3 6-4L
18 AprMuchova4-6 6-2 4-6L
17 AprNoskova6-7 5-7W
15 AprLys1-6 0-6W
10 AprKawa2-6 1-6W

Clay court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Svitolina
81.5%
Win rate
%
22–5
W–L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

50
Hard 20
Clay 30
A. Sabalenka vs E. Svitolina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - Semi-finalsSabalenka6-2 6-3
MadridClaySemi-finalsSabalenka6-3 7-5
WTA CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsSabalenka7-5 6-2
WTA RomeClay1/8-finalsSabalenka6-4 1-6 6-7
WTA French OpenClayQuarter-finalsSabalenka4-6 4-6