A. Zakharova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning A. Zakharova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving A. Zakharova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zakharova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.0 to 28.1, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.