Odds
Player analysis
A. Zakharova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.2 to 41.7, with at least one match where A. Zakharova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Zakharova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Tararudee | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Fruhvirtova | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 10 Mar | Golubic | 7-5 7-5 | W |
| 9 Mar | Stephens | 6-0 6-1 | W |
| 6 Mar | Raducanu | 6-1 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kalinskaya | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 13 Feb | Mboko | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 12 Feb | Cocciaretto | 7-5 6-4 | W |

