RomeClay1/8-finals11 May 2026 · 13:05
A. Kalinskaya
#24 · Russia
VS
J. Ostapenko
#31 · Latvia
KALINSKAYA
2.19
·
OSTAPENKO
1.76

Odds

Market
Kalinskaya
Ostapenko
Winner
2.19
1.76
Total
line 16.5
1.12
Over 16.5
4.8
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.14
Over 17.0
4.45
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
1.56
-3.5 games
2.3
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.62
-3.0 games
2.18
+3 games

Player analysis

A. Kalinskaya has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -4.11Trend down

J. Ostapenko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 54. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.1Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kalinskaya
Stat
Ostapenko
49.5%
Win rate
60.7%
46–47
W–L
82–53

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

41
Clay 01
Hard 40
A. Kalinskaya vs J. Ostapenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClayWTA 1/8-finalsOstapenko1-6 2-6
WTA DubaiHard1/32-finalsKalinskaya6-2 1-6 4-6
WTA MiamiHard1/16-finalsKalinskaya6-3 6-1
WTA DubaiHard1/8-finalsKalinskaya4-6 5-7
Adelaide 2Hard1/16-finalsKalinskaya3-6 4-6