Odds
Player analysis
A. Zakharova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning A. Zakharova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving A. Zakharova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zakharova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
K. Muchova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning K. Muchova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 17 May | Kasatkina | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 16 May | Jacquemot | 6-4 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 15 May | Keys | 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 13 May | Boulter | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | W |
| 11 May | Inglis | 2-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 May | Potapova | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Rybakina | 7-5 6-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Svitolina | 4-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Gauff | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | W |
| 16 Apr | Mertens | 1-6 6-3 6-0 | W |

