J. Ostapenko shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 54. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Linette comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.6, meaning M. Linette has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Linette vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Linette has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.