Odds
Player analysis
V. Vacherot comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 30 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 11.6, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
A. De Minaur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 9 Apr | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 6 Apr | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 24 Mar | Fils | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Berrettini | 6-7 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Apr | Blockx | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 7 Apr | Norrie | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |

