C. Norrie comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.8, meaning C. Norrie has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

A. De Minaur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 15.3, with at least one match where A. De Minaur was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.