Odds
Player analysis
S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 16.8, with at least one match where S. Tsitsipas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
A. De Minaur shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Mar | Fery | 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Shapovalov | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Humbert | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 19 Feb | Rublev | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 18 Feb | Medvedev | 3-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 14 Feb | Humbert | 6-4 6-3 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Tsitsipas | 6-1 6-2 | |
| ATP Acapulco | Hard | Quarter-finals | Minaur | 1-6 6-3 6-3 | |
| ATP Los Cabos | Hard | Final | Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-4 | |
| ATP Barcelona | Clay | Quarter-finals | Tsitsipas | 4-6 2-6 | |
| Miami | Hard | 1/16-finals | Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-3 | |
| Rotterdam | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Tsitsipas | 6-4 6-4 |

