S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.6 to 17.5, with at least one match where S. Tsitsipas was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.