Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 18:00
L. Musetti
ATP #11Italy
VS
V. Vacherot
ATP #19Monaco
MUSETTI
1.48
·
VACHEROT
2.82

Odds

Market
Musetti
Vacherot
Winner
1.48
2.82
Total
line 18.5
1.21
Over 18.5
3.58
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.24
Over 19.0
3.34
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
10.2
-7.5 games
1.02
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
9.7
-7.0 games
1.03
+7 games

Player analysis

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Musetti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -3.65Trend mixed

V. Vacherot has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.3 to 4.5, with at least one match where V. Vacherot was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving V. Vacherot vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 0.52Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Musetti
Stat
Vacherot
63.3%
Win rate
65.7%
136–79
W–L
109–57

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
MusettiVacherot

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #11Musetti vs VacherotATP #19

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Musetti 63% (13679) · Vacherot 66% (10957)

Last match at Monte Carlo

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

L11 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - Semi-finals
vs C. Alcaraz · 6-4 6-4
1st serve68%1st won70%Aces3BP conv100%

Quick comparison

MusettiStatVacherot
63%Clay W%66%
70%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
30%BP conv (L5)40%
2Aces (L5 avg)7