Odds
Player analysis
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.4, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Apr | Jodar | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 15 Apr | Medjedovic | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Ofner | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 9 Apr | Blockx | 5-7 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Musetti | 7-5 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Madrid | Clay | 1/8-finals | Musetti | 4-6 2-6 | |
| Monte Carlo | Clay | Semi-finals | Musetti | 1-6 6-4 7-6 | |
| ATP London | Grass | 1/16-finals | Musetti | 1-6 6-4 6-2 | |
| Australian Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Minaur | 6-3 3-6 3-6 |