Odds
Player analysis
R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 43. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.4, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 22 Apr | Jong | 2-6 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 18 Apr | Fils | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Apr | Norrie | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Carabelli | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 13 Apr | Munar | 1-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 15 Apr | Medjedovic | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Ofner | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 9 Apr | Blockx | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 7 Apr | Norrie | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | W |

