MadridClay1/16-finals26 Apr 2026 · 13:50
T. Griekspoor
#33 · Netherlands
VS
L. Musetti
#9 · Italy
GRIEKSPOOR
4.17
·
MUSETTI
1.275

Odds

Market
Griekspoor
Musetti
Change
Winner
4.17
1.275
Total
line 22.5
1.9
Over 22.5
1.8
Under 22.5
Total
line 23.5
2.25
Over 23.5
1.61
Under 23.5
Handicap
games
1.95
+3.5 games
1.75
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.42
+4.5 games
2.47
-4.5 games

Player analysis

Tallon Griekspoor enters the Madrid Masters Round of 16 as the 33rd-ranked player from the Netherlands, facing a significant challenge against Italian ninth seed Lorenzo Musetti on clay. The Dutch player arrives with mixed recent form, having defeated Dzumhur in straight sets but suffering three consecutive losses to Shapovalov, Monfils, and van Assche before rebounding with a win over Rublev. Griekspoor holds a 1-0 head-to-head advantage over Musetti, though the Italian remains the heavy favourite at 1.27 decimal odds compared to Griekspoor's 4.17. On the demanding Madrid clay, the world number 33 will need to find consistency to trouble the younger, higher-ranked Italian opponent.

DS -1.96Trend up

Lorenzo Musetti, ranked 9th and seeded highly at the Madrid Masters, faces Dutch player Tallon Griekspoor in the Round of 16 on clay. The Italian has shown strong form in recent matches, recording three straight-set victories over Moutet, Landaluce, and Hurkacz, though he suffered losses to Fils and Vacherot before those wins. With Musetti holding a 0-1 deficit in head-to-head meetings against Griekspoor, the Italian will be seeking to level the record and advance deeper into the tournament. Pinnacle odds favour Musetti significantly at 1.27 decimal odds, reflecting his superior ranking and current trajectory on the ATP Tour.

DS 0.72Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Griekspoor
Stat
Musetti
63.1%
Win rate
63.3%
125–73
W–L
136–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Indoor 10
T. Griekspoor vs L. Musetti head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP RotterdamIndoor1/16-finalsGriekspoor3-6 7-6 7-6