Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 22.1, with at least one match where A. Zverev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.1/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 24 May | Bonzi | 3-6 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 May | Darderi | 1-6 7-6 6-0 | L |
| 10 May | Blockx | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 May | Altmaier | 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 3 May | Sinner | 6-1 6-2 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 26 May | Walton | 6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 16 May | Sinner | 6-2 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 14 May | Landaluce | 6-1 4-6 5-7 | W |
| 12 May | Tirante | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Ruiz | 6-3 4-6 2-6 | W |
Grass court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Zverev | 6-2 3-6 6-7 | |
| Beijing | Hard | Quarter-finals | Medvedev | 6-3 6-3 | |
| Halle | Grass | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | |
| ATP Australian Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 5-7 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-3 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Medvedev | 7-6 6-4 | ||
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 4-6 3-6 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Zverev | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | |
| ATP Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Medvedev | 2-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Medvedev | 3-6 7-5 7-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | 1/8-finals | Medvedev | 6-7 7-6 7-5 |

