Odds
Player analysis
T. A. Tirante has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.4 to 18.4, with at least one match where T. A. Tirante was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. A. Tirante has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning D. Medvedev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Medvedev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 11 May | Cobolli | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 May | Norrie | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 7 May | Cadenasso | 6-7 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Norrie | 7-5 7-6 | L |
| 24 Apr | Paul | 7-5 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 May | Ruiz | 6-3 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Cobolli | 3-6 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 27 Apr | Kjaer | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 25 Apr | Marozsan | 6-2 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 8 Apr | Berrettini | 0-6 0-6 | L |

