MadridClayATP Final3 May 2026 · 17:10
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
A. Zverev
#3 · Germany
SINNER
1.18
·
ZVEREV
5.68

Odds

Market
Sinner
Zverev
Winner
1.18
5.68
Total
line 17.5
1.08
Over 17.5
5.7
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.1
Over 18.0
5.4
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
15.5
-8.5 games
1.01
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
15
-8.0 games
1.01
+8 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +14.5, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS 14.5Trend up

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 49. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 22.1, with at least one match where A. Zverev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.1/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS 12.7Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Zverev
71.8%
Win rate
70.6%
89–35
W–L
199–83

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

91
Clay 20
Hard 41
Indoor 30
J. Sinner vs A. Zverev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClayATP FinalSinner6-1 6-2
Monte CarloClayATP Semi-finalsSinner1-6 4-6
MiamiHardATP Semi-finalsSinner3-6 6-7
ATP Indian WellsHardIndian Wells - Semi-finalsSinner2-6 4-6
Finals - TurinIndoorSinner6-4 6-3
ParisIndoorSemi-finalsSinner0-6 1-6
ViennaIndoorFinalSinner3-6 6-3 7-5
Australian OpenHardFinalSinner6-3 7-6 6-3
ATP CincinnatiHardSemi-finalsSinner7-6 5-7 7-6
ATP US OpenHard1/8-finalsZverev6-4 3-6 6-2 4-6 6-3