Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. De Jong is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
A. Shevchenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.6, meaning A. Shevchenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Shevchenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Baena | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Ruiz | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Houkes | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hassan | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Mar | Humbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 22 Mar | Shelton | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Arnaldi | 6-7 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Quinn | 6-7 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Ruud | 1-6 6-7 | L |

