MiamiHardATP 1/64-finals20 Mar 2026 · 22:55
M. Arnaldi
#101 · Italy
VS
A. Shevchenko
#84 · Kazakhstan
ARNALDI
2.17
·
SHEVCHENKO
1.763

Odds

Market
Arnaldi
Shevchenko
Winner
2.17
1.763
Total
line 22.5
1.8
Over 22.5
1.91
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.59
Over 21.5
2.44
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.61
+2.5 games
2.19
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.43
+3.5 games
2.69
-3.5 games

Player analysis

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.7, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Arnaldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -9.71Trend mixed

A. Shevchenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning A. Shevchenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Shevchenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.79Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Arnaldi
Stat
Shevchenko
51.3%
Win rate
53.5%
81–77
W–L
92–80

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults2

Head to head

20
Hard 20
M. Arnaldi vs A. Shevchenko head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CanberraHard1/16-finalsArnaldi6-4 6-1
St. TropezHard1/16-finalsArnaldi1-6 2-6