Odds
Player analysis
M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.7, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Arnaldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
A. Shevchenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning A. Shevchenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Shevchenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | McDonald | 0-6 1-6 | L |
| 19 Jan | Rublev | 4-6 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 3 Jan | Gaston | 6-1 5-7 7-6 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fearnley | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 23 Oct | Zverev | 4-6 4-6 Ret. | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Quinn | 6-7 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Ruud | 1-6 6-7 | L |
| 5 Mar | Shimabukuro | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | W |
| 24 Feb | Khachanov | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 22 Feb | Halys | 7-6 7-5 | L |

