DubaiHardSemi-finals21 Feb 2026 · 08:10
J. Choinski
#119 · United Kingdom
VS
J. De Jong
#109 · Netherlands
CHOINSKI
2.81
·
JONG
1.46

Odds

Market
Choinski
Jong
Winner
2.81
1.46
Total
line 19.5
1.4
Over 19.5
2.62
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.5
1.67
Over 20.5
2.23
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.26
-2.0 games
1.65
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.24
-2.5 games
1.67
+2.5 games

Player analysis

J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -1.87Trend down

J. De Jong has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 11.7, with at least one match where J. De Jong was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Choinski
Stat
Jong
52.6%
Win rate
60%
111–100
W–L
96–64

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults4