MurciaClaySemi-finals21 Mar 2026 · 11:10
J. De Jong
#91 · Netherlands
VS
R. Carballes Baena
#165 · Spain
JONG
1.56
·
BAENA
2.56

Odds

Market
Jong
Baena
Winner
1.56
2.56
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
2.97
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.41
Over 19.5
2.52
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.5
-6.0 games
1.16
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.24
-5.5 games
1.28
+5.5 games

Player analysis

J. De Jong has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. De Jong is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 3.98Trend down

R. Carballes Baena shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 167. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -1.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Jong
Stat
Baena
62.9%
Win rate
61.3%
139–82
W–L
460–291

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults3