Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. De Jong is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. De Jong has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
M. Houkes has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Houkes has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 17 Mar | Hassan | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rublev | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Khachanov | 3-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 8 Feb | Nagal | 7-5 1-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Mar | Wessels | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Trungelliti | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Donski | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Pavlovic | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 3 Mar | Nijboer | 3-6 3-6 | L |

