Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 185. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 21.4, with at least one match where J. De Jong was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
M. Houkes comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.1, meaning M. Houkes has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving M. Houkes vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Houkes has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 17 Mar | Hassan | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rublev | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Khachanov | 3-6 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 8 Feb | Nagal | 7-5 1-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Mar | Wessels | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Trungelliti | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 11 Mar | Donski | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Pavlovic | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 3 Mar | Nijboer | 3-6 3-6 | L |

