H. Hurkacz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 8.6, with at least one match where H. Hurkacz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

S. Wawrinka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning S. Wawrinka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Wawrinka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Wawrinka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.