K. Khachanov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.2 to 16.3, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

A. Gea comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.5, meaning A. Gea has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.