T. Fritz comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 18.9, with at least one match where T. Fritz was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Fritz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 16.8, with at least one match where S. Tsitsipas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.