Odds
Player analysis
S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning S. Tsitsipas has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving S. Tsitsipas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -51 over recent matches.
D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Mar | Shapovalov | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Humbert | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 19 Feb | Rublev | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 18 Feb | Medvedev | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Echargui | 4-6 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Mar | Sinner | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Etcheverry | 3-6 6-2 6-7 | W |
| 5 Mar | Tsitsipas | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Shelton | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |