A. Fils has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.4, meaning A. Fils has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Fils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fils has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.

S. Tsitsipas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.6 to 17.5, with at least one match where S. Tsitsipas was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Tsitsipas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.