Mexico CityClayFinal6 Apr 2026 · 22:25
A. Fenty
ATP #390USA
VS
FENTY
2.62
·
TOBON
1.44

Odds

Market
Fenty
Tobon
Winner
2.62
1.44
Total
line 20.0
1.66
Over 20.0
2.2
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.8
Over 20.5
2
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.33
-2.5 games
1.6
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.17
-3.0 games
1.68
+3 games

Player analysis

A. Fenty comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning A. Fenty has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Fenty vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fenty has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -43 over recent matches.

DS -7.19Trend down

M. Tobon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.8 to 27.3, with at least one match where M. Tobon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Tobon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 1.53Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Fenty
Stat
Tobon
47.1%
Win rate
50%
8–9
W–L
19–19

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
FentyTobon

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #390Fenty vs Tobon

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Fenty 47% (89) · Tobon 50% (1919)

Last match at Mexico City

W5 Apr 2026 · Semi-finals
vs M. Covato · 6-3 6-2
1st serve63%1st won70%Aces3BP conv44.4%
L8 Apr 2026 · 1/16-finals
vs T. Colson · 1-6 6-3 6-3
1st serve49%1st won65.8%Aces5BP conv80%

Quick comparison

FentyStatTobon
47%Clay W%50%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
20%BP conv (L5)50%
2Aces (L5 avg)5