M. Tobon shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 669. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.5 to 24.4, with at least one match where M. Tobon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

K. Poling comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving K. Poling vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Poling has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.