Odds
Player analysis
J. Duckworth comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning J. Duckworth has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Duckworth vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
M. Tobon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.8 to 27.3, with at least one match where M. Tobon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Tobon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Fierros | 6-1 6-1 | W |
| 26 Mar | Mendez | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 24 Mar | Huesler | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 19 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Borges | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 31 Mar | Alboran | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 30 Mar | Poling | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Alvarado | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 24 Mar | Galarneau | 7-6 2-6 6-3 | L |
| 23 Mar | Zahraj | 5-7 7-5 3-6 | W |

