M. Tobon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

P. Alvarado comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.6, meaning P. Alvarado has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving P. Alvarado vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Alvarado has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.