Mexico CityClaySemi-finals5 Apr 2026 · 23:05
A. Fenty
ATP #390USA
VS
M. Covato
ATP #727Italy
FENTY
1.25
·
COVATO
3.75

Odds

Market
Fenty
Covato
Winner
1.25
3.75
Total
line 19.0
1.61
Over 19.0
2.15
Under 19.0
Total
line 20.0
1.72
Over 20.0
1.98
Under 20.0

Player analysis

A. Fenty comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.4 with a downward trend. A. Fenty is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Fenty vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fenty has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS 1.42Trend down

M. Covato comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -25.1, meaning M. Covato has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving M. Covato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Covato has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.

DS -25.07Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Fenty
Stat
Covato
47.1%
Win rate
50%
8–9
W–L
30–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4
BP converted20%

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
FentyCovato

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #390Fenty vs CovatoATP #727

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Fenty 47% (89) · Covato 50% (3030)

Last match at Mexico City

L6 Apr 2026 · Final
vs M. Tobon · 2-6 1-6
1st serve57%1st won53.8%Aces0BP conv0%

No finished matches at Mexico City yet.

Quick comparison

FentyStatCovato
47%Clay W%50%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
30%BP conv (L5)20%
3Aces (L5 avg)4