Mexico CityClaySemi-finals5 Apr 2026 · 23:05
A. Fenty
#391 · USA
VS
M. Covato
#697 · Italy
FENTY
1.233
·
COVATO
4.22

Odds

Market
Fenty
Covato
Winner
1.233
4.22
Total
line 20.0
1.74
Over 20.0
2.07
Under 20.0
Total
line 21.0
1.94
Over 21.0
1.75
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.79
-4.5 games
1.92
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.03
-5.5 games
1.69
+5.5 games

Player analysis

A. Fenty comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning A. Fenty has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Fenty vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fenty has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -1.85Trend up

M. Covato comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -19.1, meaning M. Covato has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving M. Covato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Covato has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -19.1Trend mixed

Recent form

LWLLW

2W 3L last 5

6 AprTobonL
5 AprCovato6-3 6-2W
1 AprPavlovic3-6 6-7L
22 MarAntoniusL
21 MarRollandW
LWLLW

2W 3L last 5

30 MarColson6-2 6-1L
29 MarAvila3-6 4-6W
15 MarFlores7-6 6-2L
9 MarVasa6-1 6-2L
8 MarIshimwe0-6 2-6W

Clay court stats

Fenty
Stat
Covato
47.1%
Win rate
50%
8–9
W–L
30–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5