MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2026 · 01:15
C. Ugo Carabelli
#59 · Argentina
VS
S. Korda
#47 · USA
CARABELLI
6.8
·
KORDA
1.14

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Korda
Winner
6.8
1.14
Total
line 17.5
1.16
Over 17.5
4.15
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.27
Over 18.0
3.2
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
4.8
-2.0 games
1.15
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.72
-2.5 games
1.24
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 9.1, with at least one match where C. Ugo Carabelli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.28Trend mixed

S. Korda has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.1 to 25.3, with at least one match where S. Korda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Korda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Korda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 9.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Korda
39.3%
Win rate
62.5%
22–34
W–L
167–100

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults2