Odds
Player analysis
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.0 to 8.1, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fonseca has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 19 Feb | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Fucsovics | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Paul | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Khachanov | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Collignon | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 20 Feb | Buse | 7-5 3-6 4-6 | L |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | 1/32-finals | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | |
| Paris | Indoor | 1/16-finals | Khachanov | 6-1 3-6 6-3 |

