R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Bautista-Agut has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

K. Khachanov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.2 to 16.3, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving K. Khachanov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.