ATP Indian WellsHard1/64-finals4 Mar 2026 · 20:10
C. Ugo Carabelli
#66 · Argentina
VS
M. Damm
#133 · USA
CARABELLI
2.62
·
DAMM
1.54

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Damm
Winner
2.62
1.54
Total
line 19.5
1.22
Over 19.5
3.5
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.26
Over 20.0
3.28
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
2.15
-2.0 games
1.75
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.02
-2.5 games
1.85
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.6, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.58Trend mixed

M. Damm comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Damm has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -1.84Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

6 MarNakashima6-3 6-4L
4 MarDamm7-6 6-3W
25 FebHanfmann4-6 3-6L
17 FebBurruchaga3-6 4-6L
13 FebBaez6-7 2-6L
Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

9 MarMejia3-6 4-6L
4 MarCarabelli7-6 6-3L
12 FebCollignon7-6 7-6L
10 FebBertola5-7 3-6W
7 FebMannarino1-6 6-3 6-4L

Hard court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Damm
40%
Win rate
62.1%
20–30
W–L
146–89

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces15
Double faults3