MadridClay1/64-finals23 Apr 2026 · 17:15
C. Ugo Carabelli
#57 · Argentina
VS
G. Monfils
#200 · France
CARABELLI
1.61
·
MONFILS
2.45

Odds

Market
Carabelli
Monfils
Winner
1.61
2.45
Total
line 19.5
1.28
Over 19.5
3.08
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.32
Over 20.0
2.92
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
4.67
-5.5 games
1.14
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
4.23
-5.0 games
1.17
+5 games

Player analysis

C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Ugo Carabelli has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -3.24Trend mixed

G. Monfils comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 16.4, with at least one match where G. Monfils was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Monfils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Carabelli
Stat
Monfils
64.5%
Win rate
58.2%
231–127
W–L
145–104

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults3